Waiting on Traction

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Gold formed a swing low today.

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Gold’s daily cycle peaked on day 13 and printed is lowest point Wednesday, day 31. Gold did form a swing low today. Gold needs to develop more traction and close above the declining trend line before we can label Wednesday a daily cycle low.

Bonds also lacked traction today.

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Bonds printed their lowest point on Tuesday, day 17, following the day 6 peak. Wednesday and Thursday saw bonds trade within Tuesday’s intraday trading range. A break below 125.92 extends the intermediate cycle decline. A break above 127.93 forms a swing low which signals a new daily cycle.

In both cases, we will need to see some bullish follow through to the declining trend line break to confirm a new daily cycle.

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