The 8/15/14 Weekend Report Preview

The Dollar

The dollar’s daily cycle has peaked on day 25. The lowest point following the day 25 peaked printed on day 27.

1 $$$ Daily

This is beginning to look just like the previous daily cycle. There was a day 19 peak followed by a low printing on day 20. The ensuing daily cycle then failed to print a higher high before printing a failed, left translated daily cycle low on day 17.

Since printing the day 27 low on the previous Friday the dollar has been consolidating the recent rally. A break above the day 25 peak of 81.78 confirms a new daily cycle. A break below the day 27 low of 81.32 extends the daily cycle decline. The dollar may have revealed its intention on Friday with the bearish breach of the developing trend line. Which has implications for gold, which we will discuss in the Weekend Report.

Setting aside the daily cycle counts and backing out our view we can see that the dollar appears to be repeating the pattern of the rally out of the May pivot. Our expectation has not changed. We expect a back test of the triangle consolidation and then the dollar will continue to rally.


Stocks closed above the declining trend line on Friday to confirm a new daily cycle.

Stocks have rallied approximately 2.6% off the day 39 low and regained the 10 day MA. Stocks were not able to close above the 50 day MA and we may see stocks crawl along the 50 MA allowing for the 10 MA to catch up before making another run higher.

The entire Weekend Report can be found at Likesmoney Subscription Services

The Weekend Report discusses Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Miners, The CRB Index, & Bonds in terms of daily, weekly and yearly cycles.
Also included in the Weekend Report is the Likesmoney CycleTracker

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One thought on “The 8/15/14 Weekend Report Preview

  1. “We expect a back test of the triangle consolidation” <—- Agree. This should line up well with a test of the monthly 3 MA currently @ 80.94

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